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What major developments and possible surprises lie ahead for the bioeconomy in
2008? Based on our ongoing research and analysis work, Bio-era
forsees an exceptionally volatile year ahead in global agricultural
commodity markets, with significant long-term implications for
the biofuels industry and other parts of the bioeconomy.
The driving
forces include high oil prices, increasing U.S. ethanol production,
rising Asian imports of grains and vegetable oils, and
the unpredictable effects of the La Nina weather pattern. Low global
inventory levels for corn, wheat, and soybeans make this an especially
high-risk year for commodity prices—one in which supply disruptions
could cause prices to reach well beyond historic highs. This comes
at a time when the future trajectory of the biofuels industry is
still very much in play. Government policies, private financing,
consolidation, new technology development—all these will be affected
by events in the marketplace over the months ahead.
In this report,
we summarize the top stories we expect to be following in the
bioeconomy during 2008.
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